CBDCs, Not Crypto, Will Be Cornerstone of Future Monetary System, BIS Says

Crypto's structural flaws make it an unsuitable basis for a monetary system, according to the Bank for International settlements (BIS). Instead, monetary systems could be built around central bank digital currencies (CBDCs), which are digital representations of central bank money. CoinDesk reports: The BIS, an association of the world's major central banks, dedicates a 42-page chapter in its "2022 Annual Economic Report" to laying out a blueprint for the future of the global monetary system. In that vision, there is room for only some of crypto's underlying technical features, like programmability and tokenization, not for cryptocurrencies themselves. "Our broad conclusion is captured in the motto, "Anything that crypto can do, CBDCs can do better,'" said Hyun Song Shin, an economic adviser and head of research at the BIS, during a press briefing on Monday.

The chapter, which will be published Tuesday ahead of the full report, identifies a number of limitations of crypto, including the lack of a stable nominal anchor. In monetary policy that is a variable -- such as a currency peg -- that can be used to control price levels. Stablecoins, cryptocurrencies pegged to the value of assets like sovereign currencies, are the crypto world's search for such an anchor, Shin said. Stablecoins attempt to "piggyback on the stability of real money issued by central banks."

Shin said the recent crash of terraUSD, a dollar stablecoin with a market capitalization of $18 billion in early May that rapidly lost its peg, illustrated how stablecoins, despite their name, are unstable and don't make good units of account. Unlike other leading stablecoins, such as USDC and USDT, which are reportedly backed by dollar-denominated reserves, terraUSD is an algorithmic stablecoin backed by another cryptocurrency (in this case LUNA) with an algorithm in place to regulate supply and demand of the stablecoin and maintain its peg. "The second important finding is that crypto and stablecoins fail to achieve the full network effects that we normally expect of money," Shin said. Money, Shin said, is the perfect example of a virtuous circle of greater use and greater acceptance. Crypto's decentralized nature, on the other hand, achieves exactly the opposite, namely fragmentation.

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