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Linux(/GNU) needs these two things before the W10 EoL date.

As you all know, the spooky month of 2025 is approaching fast. Unless we, the Linux community act, millions of perfectly good PCs will either: Get thrown in landfills as "e-waste" because users are scared of BIOS menus and Rufus, and we…

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As you all know, the spooky month of 2025 is approaching fast. Unless we, the Linux community act, millions of perfectly good PCs will either:

  • Get thrown in landfills as "e-waste" because users are scared of BIOS menus and Rufus, and we will lose our chance on the year of the Linux desktop as they will switch to a new Windows device or Mac, or worse: Chromebooks.
  • Stay on Windows 10 and contribute to a global cybersecurity nightmare: botnets, ransomware, stolen data.

and again, we will lose tens of thousands to hundreds of millions of users because of this

We need two coordinated, technically simple (for users) but robust (under the hood) tools to fix this:

1. A USB-Free, BIOS-Safe Linux Installer for Windows Refugees

Think a modern, reliable, community-backed version of Wubi but done right.

How it works:

  • Windows app downloads your distro of choice, with explainations
  • Shrinks Windows partition safely using Windows APIs
  • Adds a boot entry to Windows Boot Manager via bcdedit
  • On reboot, boots straight into the Linux first boot screen — no USBs, no BIOS, no headaches, no sacrificing or going out to buy a USB
  • Installer uses pre-reserved space, offers dual-boot or full replacement
  • if users bail mid-process, they can boot back to Windows

This eliminates the #1 technical barrier average users face: having to go out and buy a USB stick or having to sacrifice their own USBs, using USB burning tools, partition hell, boot menu diving, and fear of "breaking their computer."

2. A Cross-Partition, Real-Time Migration Tool

macOS has Migration Assistant, Windows is going to re-add it since removing it in 10, basically all phones have one, Linux should be next.

What it does:

  • Detects your existing Windows partition from Linux
  • Reads and migrates directly from that partition, meaning no connectivity fuss

Moves: * Everything in the Users directory: Documents, Pictures, Downloads, Desktop, etc * Browser data: history, cookies and localstorage potentially, bookmarks, passwords, sessions (Chrome, Edge, Firefox) * Known folders: Cross platform apps and games which it is tested as both possible and stable should be mapped from it's AppData folder to it's corrisponding dotfolder * Misc.: Outlook PSTs, random settings get mapped, WiFi networks, Bluetooth devices, Contacts, Calender, account tokens, sticky notes, terminal history, etc, anyone can be able to develop an extension and migrate something else

  • Select app data from known locations (AppData) for Wine fallback if needed,
  • Suggests Linux-native alternatives for unsupported apps
  • Leaves Windows partition untouched unless user wipes it later (should also be wizardified within Linux)

The key:
We don't copy hundreds of gigabytes of mystery blobs in Local/Temp that will never be touched again. We selectively migrate useful data, app settings, and profiles — all directly from the Windows partition the user still has.

We have to work together:

This can’t be a KDE-only, GNOME-only, or Distro-specific gimmick (it's better for one magnum opus to exist than for four competing, all four very "mid" as the young folks say). It needs:

  • Collaboration from Mint, Zorin, Ubuntu, Fedora, KDE, GNOME, XFCE, etc. and experts in the DFIR and data portability communities. These are our stakeholders.
  • Backend written in C++ or Rust for portability
  • GTK and Qt frontends so it feels native on any desktop (GNOME Migration in gnome-initial-setup and KDE K-Haul)
  • Freedesktop.org or Linux Foundation stewardship to keep it neutral

Why this matters:

If we don’t build this:

  • 240+ million Windows 10 machines risk being junked for no good reason
  • Up to millions more people will stay on the unsupported Windows 10, creating global botnets, mass ransomware outbreaks, and easy targets for random skids to cause chaos and destruction.

This is about providing a realistic, user-friendly "airport" that average people can actually take without going to an "End of 10" party (which aren't as common as you think).

What Needs to Happen:

  • Are any projects already working on this?
  • Who’s willing to cooperate? Mint team? KDE devs? GNOME Foundation? Zorin? Wine folks?
  • Can this be unified under Freedesktop.org to avoid fragmentation?
  • How do we make this ready before October 2025?

If we get this right:

  • Mass Linux adoption finally becomes at least a bit realistic, we may actually get the year of the Linux desktop.
  • Mountains of e-waste avoided
  • A data loss nightmare mitigated
  • Security disaster mitigated
  • No more "But Rufus/BIOS scared me off" excuses

If we don't:

Millions of users stay locked into closed ecosystems, landfill piles grow, and the "Year of the Linux Desktop" slips away yet again.

Thoughts? Anyone heard of projects heading this direction? How do we push the major players to prioritize this?

submitted by /u/themariocrafter
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