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Wildfires Have Changed. It's Time the Science Did Too.
A group of researchers are working to find a bigger, better way to predict how the world's deadliest blazes will behave. One mathematical model provides the…
A group of researchers are working to find a bigger, better way to predict how the world's deadliest blazes will behave. One mathematical model provides the spine for almost every computer program used to analyze wildfire behavior in the US, yet there are a number of factors it doesn't include, Technology Review reports. As a result, fire behavior analysts have been bolting an almost endless series of adjustments onto it. Today the model can't deal with everything the environment is throwing at it, from the number of dead trees now standing in America's forests to fluctuating wind speeds. So the Fire Lab is trying to build a brand new model for the first time in half a century. Inside the lab, the team is trying to better understand and predict fire behavior, in all its complexity. The big prize? A complete theory that can explain fire behavior, not just predict it.he number of dead trees now standing in America's forests to fluctuating wind speeds. So the Fire Lab is trying to build a brand new model for the first time in half a century.
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